Who will win Iowa ?

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This article was written by Aviyan Khadka. The error in author names is due to migration from Wordpress to Blogger. Thanks

The Iowa Caucus is just days away and all the candidates are doing all they can to come up on top . Here , i give you my prediction for Iowa and how it will affect the rest of the primary race .


In the Democratic side  , Clinton and Sanders are in a tight spot as there is no clear winner in the opinion polls . The CNN town hall meeting was the final pitch for the candidates to make their case and both clinton and sanders did a very good job and o'malley also had a good night but i don't think it's gonna affect the poll numbers that much .

More : Bernie Vs Hillary



In the caucus , the candidates need to have at least 15% of the vote to be counted but o'malley most likely  won't get to 15% and more than half of his voters will move to the sanders side while some will move to Clinton . i think that Iowa will go to Bernie Sanders by a margin of about 4-7 % with Clinton . Just like Obama in 2008 , Sanders has had a lot of young people's  support and a lot of them will show up at Caucus day . With Sanders win of Iowa and New Hampshire , the race will be wide open for anyone to be the nominee .



In the GOP side , Donald trump had some competition from Ted Cruz before the Jan 14 debate but after that debate , trump's poll numbers started to rise again in Iowa . Trump will most likely win Iowa and then eventually the nomination . Cruz and Rubio may be a problem after some candidates drop out but he is far ahead in the polls to fall back to the pits . The coming debate in 28 Jan probably won't shake up the polls but it will be fun to watch .



Donald trump is gonna shake up the republican party like never before and he will most likely lose the general election . This election season is gonna be epic .